Historians see little chance for McCain

The old man has a 200-pound ball and chain named Bush

One week into the general election, the polls show a dead heat.

But scholars doubt that John McCain stands much of a chance, if any.

Historians offered a litany of historical comparisons that give little hope to Gramps.
Several saw Obama’s prospects as the best for a Democrat since FDR trounced Hoover in 1932.

“This should be an overwhelming Democratic victory,” said Allan Lichtman, a presidential historian.
Lichtman, who has correctly predicted the last six presidential winners, predicts that this year,
“Republicans are screwed, blued and tattooed.”

“McCain shouldn’t win it,” said presidential historian Joan Hoff. She compared McCain’s prospects
to those of Hubert Humphrey, whose 1968 loss to Nixon resulted from LBJ's unpopularity.

“It is one of the worst political environments for the party in power since World War II,” added
Alan Abramowitzy. His forecasting model gives McCain about the same odds as a cow flying.
“It would be a pretty stunning upset if McCain won,” Abramowitz said.