Americans prefer letting tax cuts expire for the country's top earners, as President Barack Obama insists, while support has declined for cutting government services to curb budget deficits, an Associated Press-GfK poll shows. Fewer than half the repugicans polled favor continuing the shrub-era tax cuts for the wealthy.
There's also a reluctance to trim Social Security, Medicare
or defense programs, three of the biggest drivers of federal spending,
the survey released Wednesday found. The results could strengthen
Obama's hand in his fiscal cliff duel with repugicans, in which he
wants to raise taxes on the rich and cut spending by less than the repugican cabal wants.
As Obama and repugicans joust over ways to avoid tumbling over the
cliff when the new year begins, the poll offers scant evidence that the
public is willing to sacrifice much when it comes to specific cuts in
the name of budget austerity.Social Security, Medicare and defense account for just over half the $3.8 trillion the government is projected to spend this year. Voters typically voice support for deficit reduction but shy away from painful, detailed cuts to achieve it.
In the poll, 48 percent said tax cuts should expire in January on earnings over $250,000 but continue for lower incomes. An additional 32 percent said the tax cuts should continue for everybody, which has been the view of repugican lawmakers who say raising taxes on the wealthy would squelch their ability to create jobs. Thirteen percent said the tax cuts dating back to 2001 and 2003 should end for all.
"If you are fortunate and have some extra, you need to help those who don't," said Robin Keck, 49, of Golden Valley, Minn., who owns a framing business and supports ending tax cuts for the rich. "I believe people who have more money generally find more uses for it than putting other people to work."
A November 2010 AP-CNBC poll showed similar support for allowing the cuts to expire for people with the largest incomes. Polling earlier in that year had shown a preference for continuing the cuts for everyone, including the wealthy.
Support for renewing the tax cuts for everyone has ebbed among repugicans since 2010, dropping from a high of 74 percent just after the repugicans recaptured the House in that year's elections to 48 percent now. Among Democrats, support for allowing tax cuts for the wealthy to expire was a robust 61 percent, though down slightly from two years ago.
Unless the two parties strike a deal, the new year will begin with the triggering of broad spending cuts plus tax boosts on almost every taxpayer. Economists warn that the brew of sharp deficit cuts — nicknamed the fiscal cliff — could revive the recession.
The battle is occurring when the public trusts the two parties about equally to handle the deficits. Democrats have a slight edge on handling taxes but enjoy a much bigger preference when it comes to addressing Medicare, according to the poll.
Obama was re-elected last month insisting that taxes be raised on the rich as their contribution to deficit reduction. He has proposed continuing shrub-era tax cuts for all but the country's top earners, letting taxes rise on income exceeding $200,000 for individuals and $250,000 for couples.
Though repugican lawmakers have long opposed raising taxes on the highest earners, repugican leaders have proposed curbing unspecified tax deductions to avert the fiscal cliff, raising revenue that House Speaker John Boehner, r-Ohio, says could come from upper-income people.
The new poll found that, by 46 percent to 30 percent, more favor cutting government services to raising taxes to tackle budget deficits. That sentiment echoes the view of the repugican cabal, which has emphasized spending cuts during four years of budget battles with Obama.
Yet support for trimming government services has dropped in AP-GfK polls. It was 56 percent last February and 62 percent in March 2011.
Still, Ray Wilkins, 58, of Belton, Mo., a warehouse worker, said, "The government's gotten too big. The federal government tries to do just about everything."
Thirteen percent said budget balancing efforts should focus equally on service cuts and higher taxes, more than doubling that sentiment in previous polls.
When it comes to specifics, people are leery.
By 48 percent to 40 percent, more
oppose proposals to gradually raise the eligibility age for Medicare
from 65. Only 3 in 10 support slowing the growth of annual Social Security benefits. And more people oppose than favor cutting military spending.
Sentiments about culling savings
from Social Security and Medicare were similar among Democrats and repugicans. The strongest opposition to raising the Medicare
eligibility age came from people ages 30 to 64. People 50 to 64 were
most opposed to slowing the growth of Social Security benefits.
Just over half of Democrats favor cutting defense; two-thirds of Republicans oppose it.
People were about evenly split
over an idea voiced by defeated repugican presidential candidate Mitt Romney
to put a dollar limit on taxpayers' deductions.
Another idea — ending the tax
deduction for home mortgage interest in exchange for lower income tax
rates — was favored 42 percent to 33 percent, slightly less support than
the proposal received in 2010. Homeowners were closely divided over the
proposal.
Just over half the poll
respondents say they doubt Obama will be able to reduce budget deficits
during his remaining four years in office. In his first days in office
in 2009, more people than not thought he would be able to do so.
The poll found little change in
the nation's partisan makeup after the contentious presidential election
campaign, with 33 percent saying they consider themselves Democrats, 23
percent repugicans and 27 percent independents. That's about the same
as in AP-GfK polling over the past six months.
The Associated Press-GfK poll was
conducted Nov. 29 to Dec. 3 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate
Communications. It involved landline and cellphone interviews with
1,002 adults nationwide. The survey has a margin of sampling error of
plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.
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