The repugicans have long considered Alaska one of their best pickup opportunities as they try to gain the six seats needed to wrestle Senate control away from the Democrats. The state after all did vote 55-41 for Mitt Romney over Barack Obama in 2012. In 2008, the state supported McCain/Palin over Obama/Biden by a lopsided 59-38 margin. That was also the year Mark Begich eked out a 48-47 victory over repugican Ted Stevens who had been convicted on federal corruption charges just days before the election (the charges were later dismissed in April of 2009 when it was revealed that federal prosecutors had withheld some information from the defense team). However, the latest polling numbers show that repugicans can not count on retaking the Alaska seat from Begich.
Although Mark Begich’s support in the state is lukewarm, most Alaska voters are even less enamored of the repugican field. All of the announced repugican cabal candidates trail Begich. In addition, Sarah Palin, the erratic and unpredictable ever present Alaska wild card, fares no better should she decide to run. The bottom line is that the Last Frontier is no more excited about repugicans retaking the Senate than the rest of the country is. November is still several months away, but right now the odds are in favor of Mark Begich keeping his Senate seat, while repugicans will have to try to figure out why they are losing in a state as traditionally wingnut as Alaska.
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