The summer melt season for Arctic sea ice has lengthened by a month or more since 1979, a new study finds.
The primary culprit is a delayed fall freeze-up — the autumn chill when
sea water freezes into ice — but the fallout remains the same: the
Arctic ice cap is stuck in a vicious feedback loop betwixt its warming
environment and melting ice, researchers reported Feb. 4 in the journal
Geophysical Research Letters.
The Arctic is one of the fastest warming places on Earth. Temperatures
here are rising twice as fast as the global average. As the atmosphere
warms, the Arctic ice cap has shrunk
by 12 percent per decade since 1978, when scientists started tracking
ice with satellites, according to NASA. The seven lowest September ice
extents (a measure of the total ice cover) have been in past 10 years,
including 2013.
As the ice cover gets smaller, the amount of heat absorbed by the
Arctic Ocean rises. Bright, white ice reflects most of the sun's energy,
but the darker ocean water soaks it up.
"The ocean has gained so much heat it takes a while to release it,"
said lead study author Julienne Stroeve, a senior scientist at the
National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colo. "That's delaying the
autumn freeze-up."
In the past decade, the additional heat stored in the upper ocean has
increased Arctic sea surface temperatures by 0.9 degrees to 2.7 degrees
Fahrenheit (0.5 to 1.5 degrees Celsius), Stroeve and her colleagues
report. These warmer ocean temperatures prolong the summer melt season because the ocean must fall below about 29 F (minus 1.9 C) before new sea ice forms.
In the Kara, Laptev, East Siberian, Chukchi and Beaufort seas, the fall
freeze now comes between six and 11 days later each decade since 1979.
The researchers found a similar trend in the East Greenland and Barents
seas, where the fall freeze may now be delayed by as much as 40 days per
decade.
Oil and gas companies are already exploiting this delay by pushing for
drilling leases that allow extraction and exploration well into autumn,
Stroeve said. But year-to-year ice conditions can still vary
dramatically.
Stroeve notes that while the overall trend is for less sea ice
and a longer summer melt season, within the Arctic, ocean and weather
conditions can influence how much ice is present. For instance, ice
cover in the Bering Sea has increased by 20 percent in recent years, the
study finds. Winds pushing sea ice south into the Bering Sea may be the
cause, though scientists are still debating the reasons for the added
ice cover here.
Stroeve plans further work to investigate whether the spring warming is
caused by an increase in atmospheric moisture, which means more clouds
and solar radiation absorption, or whether warm air coming from the
south plays a role. She also hopes to track ice thickness. In the 1980s,
70 percent of the Arctic ice cap was thick, multiyear ice, which
survives the summer melting. By the end of 2012, less than 20 percent of
the ice cap was multiyear ice — most of the ice cover was seasonal ice,
only a year old. The thinner seasonal ice melts faster.
No comments:
Post a Comment