Michael Tomasky of the Daily Beast think so.
There’s a secret lurking behind everything you’re reading
about the upcoming election, a secret that all political insiders
know—or should—but few are talking about, most likely because it takes
the drama out of the whole business. The secret is the electoral
college, and the fact is that the more you look at it, the more you come
to conclude that Mitt Romney has to draw an inside straight like you’ve
never ever seen in a movie to win this thing. This is especially true
now that it seems as if Pennsylvania isn’t really up for grabs. Romney’s
paths to 270 are few.
Sure, something big
could happen to alter the dynamic completely. But we’ve watched these
guys go, what, six or seven rounds now (out of 15). After seven rounds,
you can pretty well tell some things. All the supposedly game-changing
events of the last few weeks haven’t changed much of anything. This is a
paradoxical situation that has little or no modern precedent, which
makes it hard for people to accept. Liberals are too nervous to think
it, reporters too intent on a “down to the wire” narrative, and
conservatives too furious and disbelieving, but it’s shaping up to be
true: An extremely close election that on election night itself stands a
surprisingly good chance of being not that close at all.
I
will say that the level of vitriol, and outright lies, coming from the
Romney folks, and the repugicans generally, have started to make me
wonder if the repugican party isn't already in panic mode about November election.
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