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Friday, September 21, 2012

Ed Kilgore, writing over @ Washington Monthly, points out that, with the latest poll, Mitt Romney is probably holding his nose and saying "pew"

 Ed Kilgore, writing over @ Washington Monthly, points out that, with the latest poll, Mitt Romney is probably holding his nose and saying "pew":


It’s hardly the kind of definitive evidence we need to conclude Mitt Romney in the process of burying his presidential prospects, but there’s just no way for anyone to spin the new national pew research poll as anything other than really bad news for the repugican nominee. taken from September 12-16 (in other words, before the Boca moment video hit the airwaves), it shows Barack Obama opening up an 8-point lead among likely voters, while also topping 50%. if you want a real topline shocker: the same poll at this point in 2008 showed Obama and McCain even at 46%. if there’s been a poll this year showing Obama outperforming his 2008 numbers at any point whatsoever, I certainly don’t recall seeing it.



Pew’s analysis is very lengthy, and i haven’t had a chance to read, much less absorb and write about, it all. but for the moment, I’ll leave you with pew’s opening summary:

At this stage in the campaign, Barack Obama is in a strong position compared with past victorious presidential candidates. with an eight-point lead over Mitt Romney among likely voters, Obama holds a bigger September lead than the last three candidates who went on to win in November, including Obama four years ago. in elections since 1988, only Bill Clinton, in 1992 and 1996, entered the fall with a larger advantage.

But don't start popping the champagne corks just yet. as Ed points out, this poll could be an outlier.

As opposed to Mitt Romney himself, who is an out-and-out liar.

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