Mammal body size decreased significantly during at least two ancient
global warming events, a new finding that suggests a similar outcome is
possible in response to human-caused climate change, according to a
University of Michigan paleontologist and his colleagues.
Now U-M paleontologist Philip Gingerich and his colleagues have found
evidence that mammalian "dwarfing" also occurred during a separate,
smaller global warming event that occurred about 2 million years after
the PETM, around 53 million years ago.
"The fact that it happened twice significantly increases our confidence
that we're seeing cause and effect, that one interesting response to
global warming in the past was a substantial decrease in body size in
mammalian species," said Gingerich, a professor of earth and
environmental sciences.
The research team also includes scientists from the University of New
Hampshire, Colorado College and the California Institute of Technology.
The researchers are scheduled to present their findings Friday, Nov. 1,
in Los Angeles at the annual meeting of the Society of Vertebrate
Paleontology.
They concluded that decreased body size "seems to be a common
evolutionary response" by mammals to extreme global warming events,
known as hyperthermals, "and thus may be a predictable natural response
for some lineages to future global warming."
The PETM lasted about 160,000 years, and global temperatures rose an
estimated 9 to 14 degrees Fahrenheit at its peak. The smaller, later
event analyzed in the latest study, known as ETM2 (Eocene Thermal
Maximum 2), lasted 80,000 to 100,000 years and resulted in a peak
temperature increase of about 5 degrees Fahrenheit.
For example, the study revealed that a lineage of early horses the size
of a small dog, called Hyracotherium, experienced a body-size decrease
of about 19 percent during ETM2. The same horse lineage showed a
body-size decrease of about 30 percent during the PETM. After both
events, the animals rebounded to their pre-warming size.
"Interestingly, the extent of mammalian dwarfism may be related to the
magnitude of the hyperthermal event," said team member Abigail
D'Ambrosia of the University of New Hampshire.
An ancient ungulate called Diacodexis decreased about 20 percent in size
during ETM2, and the primate Cantius decreased 8 percent.
The burning of fossil fuels and the resulting release of heat-trapping
greenhouse gases—mainly carbon dioxide—is blamed for present-day climate
warming. The ancient warming events may have been caused by the release
of seabed methane clathrates, a kind of methane ice found in ocean
sediments, though this topic remains an area of active research,
Gingerich said. Methane is a more potent greenhouse gas than carbon
dioxide, and atmospheric methane is eventually transformed into carbon
dioxide and water.
The parallels between ancient hyperthermals and modern-day warming make
studies of the fossil record particularly valuable, said team member
Will Clyde of the University of New Hampshire.
"Developing a better understanding of the relationship between mammalian
body size change and greenhouse gas-induced global warming during the
geological past may help us predict ecological changes that may occur in
response to current changes in Earth's climate," Clyde said.
In 2006, Gingerich proposed that mammalian dwarfing could be a response
to the lower nutritional value of plants grown under elevated carbon
dioxide levels. Under such conditions, plants grow quickly but are less
nutritious than they would normally be.
Animals eating such plants might adapt by becoming smaller over time.
Evidence from the ETM2 fossils is consistent with that hypothesis, and
research on the topic is ongoing, Gingerich said.
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