The ill effects of the 1996 welfare reform will reverberate 20 years
later in 2016, when harsh rules limiting assistance are likely to resume
as unemployment rates fall. The 1996 law imposed a three-month federal
time limit on food assistance to unemployed adults who aren't disabled
and don't have dependents. There is an exemption in the law for states
experiencing high unemployment rates, but with those rates falling the
states will no longer be able to extend that assistance. The Center on
Budget and Policy Priorities warns that a federal legislative fix is
highly unlikely, and states need to prepare to help the one million
people who will be dropped.The loss of this food assistance, which averages approximately $150
to $200 per person per month for this group, will likely cause serious
hardship among many. Agriculture Department (USDA) data show that the
individuals subject to the three-month limit have average monthly income
of approximately 19 percent of the poverty line, and they typically
qualify for no other income support.
The indigent individuals at risk
are diverse. About 40 percent are women. Close to one-third are over
age 40. Among those who report their race, about half are white, a third
are African American, and a tenth are Hispanic. Half have only a high
school diploma or GED. They live in all areas of the country, and among
those for whom data on metropolitan status are available, about 40
percent live in urban areas, 40 percent in suburban areas, and 20
percent in rural areas. Many in this population, which generally has
limited education and skills and limited job prospects, struggle to find
employment even in normal economic times. And although the overall
unemployment rate is slowly falling, other labor market data indicate
that many people who want to work still cannot find jobs, while others
who want to work full time can find only part-time employment. Cutting
off food assistance to poor unemployed and underemployed workers doesn't
enable them to find employment or secure more hours of work.
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