by Dylan Love
"Today there's no legislation regarding how much intelligence a machine
can have, how interconnected it can be. If that continues, look at the
exponential trend. We will reach the singularity in the timeframe most
experts predict. From that point on you're going to see that the top
species will no longer be humans, but machines."
These are the words of Louis Del Monte, physicist, entrepreneur, and author of "The Artificial Intelligence Revolution." Del
Monte spoke to us over the phone about his thoughts surrounding
artificial intelligence and the singularity, an indeterminate point in
the future when machine intelligence will outmatch not only your own
intelligence, but the world's combined human intelligence too.
The average estimate for when
this will happen is 2040, though Del Monte says it might be as late as
2045. Either way, it's a timeframe of within three decades.
Louis Del Monte
"It won't be the 'Terminator'
scenario, not a war," said Del Monte. "In the early part of the
post-singularity world, one scenario is that the machines will seek to
turn humans into cyborgs. This is nearly happening now, replacing faulty
limbs with artificial parts. We'll see the machines as a useful tool.
Productivity in business based on automation will be increased
dramatically in various countries. In China it doubled, just based on
GDP per employee due to use of machines."
"By the end of this century," he
continued, "most of the human race will have become cyborgs [part
human, part tech or machine]. The allure will be immortality. Machines
will make breakthroughs in medical technology, most of the human race
will have more leisure time, and we'll think we've never had it better.
The concern I'm raising is that the machines will view us as an
unpredictable and dangerous species."
Del Monte believes machines will
become self-conscious and have the capabilities to protect
themselves. They "might view us the same way we view harmful insects."
Humans are a species that "is unstable, creates wars, has weapons to
wipe out the world twice over, and makes computer viruses." Hardly an
appealing roommate.
He wrote the book as "a
warning." Artificial intelligence is becoming more and more capable, and
we're adopting it as quickly as it appears. A pacemaker operation is
"quite routine," he said, but "it uses sensors and AI to regulate your
heart."
A 2009 experiment showed that robots
can develop the ability to lie to each other. Run at the Laboratory of
Intelligent Systems in the Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale of Lausanne,
Switzerland, the experiment had robots designed to cooperate in finding
beneficial resources like energy and avoiding the hazardous ones.
Shockingly, the robots learned to lie to each other in an attempt to
hoard the beneficial resources for themselves.
"The implication is that they're
also learning self-preservation," Del Monte told us. "Whether or not
they're conscious is a moot point."
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